Thursday, February 2, 2012

My Dream World


It’s been a quite long time since I stopped posting but now suddenly I realize I should continue it especially when I feel really boring. I was thinking about uncertainty, recently there’s been a lot of talk about this topic, well the reason is a lot of mathematical modeling and special attention given by my statistical professor. Every time I saw him fighting for the best predictive nature, even I was wondered when he predicted uncertainty from the data set which is supposedly giving a wrong prediction. Of course  this is no wonder to a well experienced person and I was even wondering when this global scale climate model was predicting uncertainty and people were (I mean to say researcher) fighting each other to find the best predictive value.
I was wondering how about this uncertainty in Life. Will it be possible for experienced people like them to apply this statistical rule to predict the future of life based on previous dataset of a person or investigate the nature with someone who passed away and left a lot of evidence……I am sure statistician will find a way to make a best fit line passing through the mean having a regression square value of 1.0 (the so called best fit) and neglecting the outliers (the extreme events in life……could be anything)
But to be honest is it possible to throw away those outliers in life like the statistician do considering them as error to the data…
I am sorry to be sadistic all the time but to me these outliers in human life brings back the situation which you never expected for……..

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